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There are two different answers to the question. The first one deals with the trigger for leaf senescence. It's the shortening of daylight hours that starts the process and from the time it is triggered by photoperiod the process proceeds in a manner that is not influenced very much by the environment, including whether the weather is cold or hot (Keskitalo et al. 2005). What this means is that the leaves all fall off at about the same time each year. The intensity of leaf color, on the other hand, is affected by the weather. Warm weather tends to produce a less spectacular display of fall colors.
The second answer addresses the reason for leaf color. It has to do with senescence. In the autumn the leaves of deciduous trees fall off the tree to prepare for winter. As the leaves die, the tree attempts to salvage as much nitrogen and carbohydrate as it can. While the photosynthetic apparatus is winding down it is more likely to produce free radicals and oxidative damage [Superoxide Dismutase Is a Really Fast Enzyme]. To prevent excess damage the leaves produce pigment molecules that block some of the light and reduce levels of photosynthesis. Red pigments, such as anthocyanins are especially effective (Feild et al. 2002).
Anthocyanins are only produced in the autumn. They are not found in leaves during the summer and their main role is to block sunlight from the photosynthesis machinery during leaf senescence. Other leaf colors are due to the unmasking of accessory pigments as chlorophyll breaks down. The regular pigments such as carotenoids (orange) [Vitamin A (retinol)] and xanthophylls (yellow) become more prominent because their breakdown is delayed [Why Leaves Change Color].
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Feild, T.S., Lee, D.W. and Holbrook, N.M. (2002) Why leaves turn red in autumn. The role of anthocyanins in senescing leaves of red-osier dogwood. Plant Physiol. 127:566-574. [PubMed]
Keskitalo, J., Bergquist, G., Gardeström, P. and Jansson, S. (2005) A cellular timetable of autumn senescence. Plant Physiol. 139:1635-48. [PubMed]
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